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Solomon islands. S-League
Solomon islands. S-League
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Solomon islands. S-League

Yeoju Citizen - Jinju Citizen

Football
Y
Yeoju Citizen
- : -
Not started
Jinju Citizen
Jinju Citizen
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Jinju Citizen50%

Pure model vs market (2 · Jinju Citizen): model 46% · market 36% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Yeoju Citizen26.0%
X · draw24.2%
2 · Jinju Citizen49.8%

Model estimate: win Yeoju Citizen 26.0%, draw 24.2%, win Jinju Citizen 49.8%. Model favourite — Jinju Citizen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Jinju Citizen (odds1.30) Score 1:2 confidence 58%
  • Model backs Tandzhin Sitizen: probability 58% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yeoju Citizen - Jinju Citizen July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Jinju Citizen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 4.10 / 2 2.77

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -0.4%
1 39.2%
X 24.5%
2 36.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Yeoju Citizen 1 : 2 Jinju Citizen
12.57
X3.25
22.41

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Yeoju Citizen - Jinju Citizen

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yeoju Citizen 25.6% 26.0%
Draw 24.4% 24.2% draw risk
Jinju Citizen 50.0% 49.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.0% / 24.2% / 49.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,480 / 1,742 Yeoju Citizen / Jinju Citizen
RD 174 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,133-1,827 / 1,391-2,092 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · weak value +10.0% · model 49.8%
X 3.59 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.54 market consensus · no value · model 26.0%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%
X2 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 74.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.31 76.3% 2.50 40.0%
x2 1.47 68.0% 1.10 90.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.26 30.7%
X 2.12 47.2%
3.01 33.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.74 57.5%
Over 1.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Yeoju Citizen
W D
15.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Yeoju Citizen 1:0 KennamKennam
05.07 08:00 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Yeoju Citizen 2:2 Pkhentkhek Sitizen
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Jinju Citizen
W W
15.07 08:00 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Jinju Citizen 2:0 YonginYongin
04.07 08:00 UTC South Korea: Cup Yuzhnoy Korei
Jinju Citizen 2:0 Haman
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points