South Korea. Superleague
Jeju United FC meet Incheon United on August 2, 2026 in the South Korea. Superleague.
Recent form (W-D-L): Jeju United FC 1-2-1, Incheon United 1-1-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Incheon United — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Incheon United): model 23% · market 39% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Jeju United FC 26.2%, draw 26.9%, win Incheon United 46.8%. Model favourite — Incheon United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Incheon United.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 2.01 49.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.77 26.5% | |
| X | 1.91 52.4% |
| 3.21 31.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 1 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.36 42.4% |
| Under 1 | 2.22 45.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.71 58.5% |
Jeju United FC
Kanvon
Pkhokhan Stilers
Kimchkhon Sanmu
Incheon United
Puchkhon 1995
Ulsan
Chonbuk Motors
Anyang
Seul
Full head-to-head historyJeju United FC - Incheon United
The Jeju United FC - Incheon United breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
