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South Korea. Superleague
South Korea. Superleague
16-й тур 04.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:30 UTC 16-й тур
Finished

South Korea. Superleague

Daejeon Citizen - Bucheon 1995

Futbol
Daejeon Citizen
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 2
Finished
Bucheon 1995
Bucheon 1995
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Daejeon Citizen — 52%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Daejeon Citizen - Bucheon 1995 4 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Daejeon Citizen.

Line favourite market consensus: Daejeon Citizen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.46 / 2 4.71
  • 1X2 market: Daejeon Citizen 53.3% / X 26.9% / Bucheon 1995 19.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 53.4%
X 26.9%
2 19.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

K League 1
League table
Daejeon Citizen
#1017 ptsGP 164-5-719:18
DLLLD
Bucheon 1995
#918 ptsGP 164-6-613:17
DWDLL
Best price across 13 books
1 1.85 Dafabet
X 3.53 Pinnacle
2 4.85 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Daejeon Citizen
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.26 xGA 1.17 Corners 3.8
Bucheon 1995
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.93 xGA 1.36 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Daejeon Citizen
Rating 1519 xG 1.47 Win 51%
Bucheon 1995
Rating 1504 xG 0.88 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • K League 1

Team stats

Daejeon Citizen
LLWLWWDLLL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 1.1
10 place, 16 pts
Bucheon 1995
LWDLLWLLDW
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 1
9 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Daejeon Citizen 6, draws 2, Bucheon 1995 6 (goals 20:18)
  • Bucheon FC 1995 — Daejeon Citizen2026-03-07 1:1
  • Daejeon Citizen — Bucheon FC 19952022-08-27 3:1
  • Bucheon FC 1995 — Daejeon Citizen2022-07-02 2:0
  • Daejeon Citizen — Bucheon FC 19952022-05-21 1:0
  • Bucheon FC 1995 — Daejeon Citizen2022-04-02 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Daejeon Citizen
  • Тэджон Уорлд Кап Стадиум · 42 176 seats
  • Founded in 1997
  • Coach: Хван Сон Хон
Bucheon 1995
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Stadium Тэджон Ворлд Кап
Start 04.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Daejeon Citizen - Bucheon 1995

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Тэджон Хана Ситизен - Пучхон, 4 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Республики Корея по футболу (Кей-лига 1) 2026, 16-й тур. Тэджон Хана Ситизен - Пучхон, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 market consensus · line only
X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.19 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
П2 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.60 38.5% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.40 22.7%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.11 90.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.37 42.2%
Х 1.99 50.3%
П2 5.70 17.5%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Daejeon Citizen
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Bucheon 1995
Daejeon Citizen Team comparison Bucheon 1995
15 Игры 15
4 Победы 4
4 Ничьи 5
7 Поражения 6
17 Забито 11
16 Пропущено 15
16 Очки 17
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
10.29 Удары по воротам 7.43
4.67 Удары в створ 3.47
тизен 27-й тур Голы Мин Кю Чу Густав Людвигсон 1:0 51' Ан Тэ Хён 1:1 55' Витор Габриэл Kazuki Takahashi 1:2 59' Jin-Su Seo Диого 2:2 82' Наказания Мин Чун Ким 30' Антон Кривоцюк 45' Витор Габриэл 68' Kazuki Takahashi 78' Dong-Hyun Kim 90+9'

Тэджон Хана Ситизен Пучхон 15 Игры 15 4 Победы 4 4 Ничьи 5 7 Поражения 6 17 Забито 11 16 Пропущено 15 16 Очки 17 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 10.29 Удары по воротам 7.43 4.67 Удары в створ 3.47 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 3.53 Угловые 3.4 1.33 Оффсайды 0.8 12.13 Фолы 11 52 % владения мячом 41.93 1.6 Предупреждения 1.73 0.07 Удаления 0.13 Следующий матч 05.09.2026 Южная Корея — Кей-лига 1 Пучхон –:– Тэджон Хана Ситизен 27-й тур Голы Мин Кю Чу Густав Людвигсон 1:0 51' Ан Тэ Хён 1:1 55' Витор Габриэл Kazuki Takahashi 1:2 59' Jin-Su Seo Диого 2:2 82' Наказания Мин Чун Ким 30' Антон Кривоцюк 45' Витор Габриэл 68' Kazuki Takahashi 78' Dong-Hyun Kim 90+9'