South Korea. Superleague

16 round 05.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 08:30 UTC 16 round

Finished

South Korea. Superleague

FC Seoul - Incheon United

Futbol

FC Seoul

1 : 0

Finished

Incheon United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Seoul - Incheon United July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Seoul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 7.10 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.8%

1 71.0%

X 10.6%

2 18.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • K League 1

Team stats

FC Seoul

WWLWWLDLWW

W 6 • D 1 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:1.6 : 0.9

1 place, 32 pts

Incheon United

WLDWWLDWLW

W 5 • D 2 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:1.5 : 0.8

6 place, 21 pts

Head-to-head: 15 — FC Seoul 5, draws 5, Incheon United 5 (goals 11:13)

Incheon United — FC Seoul2026-02-28 1:2
Incheon United — FC Seoul2024-07-27 0:1
Incheon United — FC Seoul2024-05-11 1:2
FC Seoul — Incheon United2024-03-10 0:0
FC Seoul — Incheon United2023-07-22 0:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

FC Seoul

Seul Uorld Kap Stadium · 66 806 seats
Founded in 1983
Coach: Kim Gi-dong

Incheon United

Incheon Football Stadium (Inchkhon) · 20 891 seats
Founded in 2004

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach

FC Seoul

Kim, Gi Dong

Head coach

Incheon United

Yoon, Jung-Hwan

Seoul World Cup Stadium

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

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Match center

Stadium Seul Uorld Kap - Sangam

Start 05.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Match center

FC Seoul - Incheon United

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Seul - Inchkhon Yunayted, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Respubliki Koreya po futbolu (Key-liga 1) 2026, 16 round. Seul - Inchkhon Yunayted, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.05 market consensus · line only

X 7.10 Fonbet · line only

1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only

X2 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.45 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.10 90.9%	1.83 54.6%
yes	5.40 18.5%	1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.26 79.4%	1.28 78.1%	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%	1.10 90.9%
x2	1.82 55.0%	1.86 53.8%	6.50 15.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.45 40.8%
X	2.11 47.4%
	4.61 21.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.37 73.0%
Over 1.5	2.66 37.6%
Under 0.5	2.69 37.2%
Under 1.5	1.38 72.5%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Seoul - Incheon United

FC Seoul

0 matches total

Incheon United

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 FC Seoul

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Incheon United

15 Games 15

10 Wins 6

2 Draws 3

3 Losses 6

27 Scored 21

12 Conceded 17

32 Points 21

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

10.43 Shots on goal 8.42

4.93 Shots on target 3.87

Inchkhon Yunayted 27 round Goly Chun Syn Von 1:0 82' Nakazaniya Son Min Gyu 51' Zhersu 74' Chun Syn Von 82' Yun Son Gu 90+7'

Seul Inchkhon Yunayted 15 Games 15 10 Wins 6 2 Draws 3 Losses 6 27 Scored 21 12 Conceded 17 32 Points 21 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 10.43 Shots on goal 8.42 4.93 Udary v stvor 3.87 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.2 Uglovye 4.53 1 Offsaydy 1.53 10.8 Foly 11 53.33 % vladeniya myachom 50.33 1.87 Warnings 2.13 0.2 Sendoffs 0.07 Sleduyuschiy match 05.09.2026 South Korea — Key-liga 1 Seul –:– Inchkhon Yunayted 27 round Goly Chun Syn Von 1:0 82' Nakazaniya Son Min Gyu 51' Zhersu 74' Chun Syn Von 82' Yun Son Gu 90+7'