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South Korea. Superleague

29.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Not started

South Korea. Superleague

Jeju United - Incheon United

Football

Jeju United

- : -

Not started

Incheon United

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jeju United — 63%

1 · Jeju United ✓ Pick63.3%

market25%

X · draw18.0%

market21%

2 · Incheon United18.8%

market53%

Model estimate: win Jeju United 63.3%, draw 18.0%, win Incheon United 18.8%. Model favourite — Jeju United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jeju United (odds3.59) Score 2:1 confidence 52%

• Model backs Chedzhu: probability 52% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.59)
• edge over the line +24 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jeju United - Incheon United July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Incheon United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.59 / X 4.25 / 2 1.71

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%

1 ✓ Pick 25.4%

X 21.4%

2 53.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Match center

Jeju United - Incheon United

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Jeju United 25.4% 63.3% Glicko contrarian

Draw 21.4% 18.0% draw risk

Incheon United 53.2% 18.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 63.3% / 18.0% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,673 / 1,395 Jeju United / Incheon United

RD 250 / 200 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,173-2,173 / 996-1,795 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.71 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 18.8%

X 4.25 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.59 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.3%

Handicap

2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only

1 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.37 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	3.37 29.7%
yes	1.28 78.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.75 26.7%
X	2.67 37.5%
	2.13 47.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.79 55.9%
Under 1.5	1.91 52.4%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	1.60 62.5%
	2.15 46.5%

Match center

Jeju United

L D W D

26.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Jeju United 1:5 Gvangyu

21.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Jeju United 0:0 Kanvon

18.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Jeju United 2:1 Pkhokhan Stilers

05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Jeju United 1:1 Kimchkhon Sanmu

1 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Incheon United

D L W L L

26.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Incheon United 1:1 Puchkhon 1995

21.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Incheon United 0:3 Ulsan

18.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Incheon United 1:0 Chonbuk Motors

12.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Incheon United 0:1 Anyang

05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 1 Standings

Incheon United 0:1 Seul

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyJeju United - Incheon United

Jeju United

0 matches total

Incheon United

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Jeju United - Incheon United

AI match prediction Jeju United - Incheon United July 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Jeju United - Incheon United

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history