South Korea. K League 2
South Korea. K League 2
12.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

South Korea. K League 2

Busan I'Park - Gimpo Citizen

Futbol
B
Busan I'Park
2 : 0
Finished
Gimpo Citizen
Gimpo Citizen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Busan I'Park - Gimpo Citizen July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Busan I'Park.

Line favourite market consensus: Busan I'Park. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.07 / 2 2.69
  • 1X2 market: Busan I'Park 36.5% / X 29.7% / Gimpo Citizen 33.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 36.4%
X 29.7%
2 33.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

K League 2
League table
Busan I'Park
#136 ptsGP 1611-3-235:20
WDDWL
Gimpo Citizen
#824 ptsGP 166-6-419:18
LLDWW
Best price across 14 books
1 2.60 Superbet
X 3.33 Pinnacle
2 2.95 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Busan I'Park
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.57 xGA 1.03
Gimpo Citizen
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.37 xGA 1.05

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Busan I'Park
Rating 1584
Gimpo Citizen
Rating 1504

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Busan I'Park 1 : 1 Gimpo Citizen
12.41
X3.06
22.71

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Busan I'Park - Gimpo Citizen

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.95 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.55 39.2% 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.57 38.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.70 37.0% 2.64 37.9% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.09 91.7% 1.90 52.6%
yes 5.70 17.5% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.41 70.9% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.47 68.0% 5.80 17.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 80.00 1.3%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 18.00 5.6%
1_4 55.00 1.8%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Busan I'Park
D D
05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Busan I'Park 3:3 ChonnamChonnam
05.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Busan I'Park 2:2 AsanAsan
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
2 Points
Gimpo Citizen
L D
05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 0:2 AsanAsan
07.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 2:2 ChonnamChonnam
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points