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South Korea. K League 2
South Korea. K League 2
01.08.2026 10:30 UTC
01.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Not started

South Korea. K League 2

Gimpo Citizen - Gyeongnam FC

Football
Gimpo Citizen
Gimpo Citizen
- : -
Not started
Gyeongnam FC
Gyeongnam FC
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gimpo Citizen — 48%

1 · Gimpo Citizen48.1%
X · draw20.4%
2 · Gyeongnam FC31.5%

Model estimate: win Gimpo Citizen 48.1%, draw 20.4%, win Gyeongnam FC 31.5%. Model favourite — Gimpo Citizen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gimpo Citizen (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs FK Kimpkho: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gimpo Citizen - Gyeongnam FC August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gimpo Citizen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.19 / 2 3.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 44.8%
X 29.2%
2 25.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

K League 2
League table
Gimpo Citizen
#726 ptsGP 186-8-421:20
ARRAY
Gyeongnam FC
#924 ptsGP 186-6-626:26
ARRAY
Best price across 12 books
1 1.99 Dafabet
X 3.40 Dafabet
2 4.20 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gimpo Citizen
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.42 xGA 1.01
Gyeongnam FC
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.19 xGA 1.30

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gimpo Citizen
Rating 1486 xG 1.36 Win 47%
Gyeongnam FC
Rating 1446 xG 0.91 Win 25%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 44.8% @ 2.08 / X 29.2% @ 3.19 / 2 25.9% @ 3.60
Match center

Gimpo Citizen - Gyeongnam FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gimpo Citizen 44.5% 48.1% market and model agree
Draw 29.8% 20.4% draw risk
Gyeongnam FC 25.7% 31.5%
xG - 1.36 : 0.91

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.1% / 20.4% / 31.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,418 / 1,495 Gimpo Citizen / Gyeongnam
RD 179 / 155 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,060-1,777 / 1,186-1,804 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · no value · model 31.5%
X 3.15 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 48.1%
Double chance
12 1.32 market consensus · value +5.1% · model 79.6%
1X 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 68.5%
X2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 51.9%
Handicap
2 0 2.55 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.63 38.0%
X 1.97 50.8%
4.49 22.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.10 47.6%
Under 1 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Gimpo Citizen
D D L L D
26.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 1:1 YonginYongin
18.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 1:1 TeguTegu
12.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 0:2 Pusan Ay Park
05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 0:2 AsanAsan
07.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gimpo Citizen 2:2 ChonnamChonnam
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Gyeongnam FC
D W D W D
25.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gyeongnam FC 1:1 ChonnamChonnam
19.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gyeongnam FC 5:0 Ansan GrinersAnsan Griners
12.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gyeongnam FC 1:1 AsanAsan
05.07 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gyeongnam FC 2:1 Chkhonan SitiChkhonan Siti
06.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Gyeongnam FC 2:2 YonginYongin
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points