South Korea. K League 2
South Korea. K League 2
04.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

South Korea. K League 2

Suwon Samsung Bluewings - Seongnam

Futbol
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
1 : 0
Finished
Seongnam
Seongnam

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Suwon Samsung Bluewings - Seongnam July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Suwon Samsung Bluewings.

Line favourite market consensus: Suwon Samsung Bluewings. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.19 / 2 3.97
  • 1X2 market: Suwon Samsung Bluewings 48.5% / X 28.6% / Seongnam 23.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 48.5%
X 28.6%
2 23.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

K League 2
League table
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
#232 ptsGP 1510-2-321:12
WWLWD
Seongnam
#1017 ptsGP 153-8-414:15
LDDLD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.89 Dafabet
X 3.40 Dafabet
2 4.49 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.11 xG 1.70 xGA 0.97
Seongnam
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.35 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
Rating 1568
Seongnam
Rating 1439

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • K League 2

Team stats

Suwon Samsung Bluewings
WDLWWLDWLW
W 5 • D 2 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.1
2 place, 29 pts
Seongnam
WLLDWDDLDD
W 2 • D 5 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1
10 place, 17 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — Suwon Samsung Bluewings 9, draws 2, Seongnam 4 (goals 26:16)
  • Suwon Bluewings — Seongnam Ilhwa2025-08-30 2:2
  • Seongnam Ilhwa — Suwon Bluewings2025-06-06 1:2
  • Suwon Bluewings — Seongnam Ilhwa2025-04-27 3:2
  • Seongnam Ilhwa — Suwon Bluewings2024-09-22 1:2
  • Suwon Bluewings — Seongnam Ilhwa2024-06-22 3:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Suwon Samsung Bluewings - Seongnam

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 -1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.85 26.0% 4.13 24.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.73 57.8%
yes 3.85 26.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0% 5.60 17.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.50 40.0%
X 1.95 51.3%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Suwon Samsung Bluewings
W
06.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Suwon Samsung Bluewings 2:1 KhvasonKhvason
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Seongnam
D
05.06 08:30 UTC South Korea: K-Liga 2 Standings
Seongnam 1:1 GimkheGimkhe
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points