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Spain: Segunda - Povyshenie - Playoff
Spain: Segunda - Povyshenie - Playoff
07.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
07.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Spain: Segunda - Povyshenie - Playoff

Las-Palmas - Malaga

Football
Las-Palmas
Las-Palmas
0 : 1
Finished
Malaga
Malaga

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Las-Palmas - Malaga June 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Las-Palmas.

Line favourite market consensus: Las-Palmas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.07 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Las-Palmas 42.4% / X 30.5% / Malaga 27.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 42.4%
X 30.5%
2 27.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Segunda División
League table
Las-Palmas
#573 ptsGP 4220-13-957:40
LWDWL
Malaga
#473 ptsGP 4221-10-1175:52
WWDWW
Best price across 12 books
1 2.25 Betano
X 3.20 Marathonbet
2 3.71 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Las-Palmas
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.55 xGA 1.08 Corners 4.4
1 +4.94 X -5.50 2 -5.15 1 (DNB) +2.29
Malaga
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.30 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.49 xGA 1.30 Corners 5.2
1 +1.42 X +1.33 2 -5.60 1 (DNB) +1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Las-Palmas
Rating 1582 xG 1.21 Win 37%
Malaga
Rating 1598 xG 1.18 Win 35%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 07.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Las-Palmas - Malaga

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.11 32.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.09 91.7%
yes 5.80 17.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 6.20 16.1%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
6.70 14.9%
7.90 12.7%
7.20 13.9%
12.00 8.3%
11.50 8.7%
2.25 44.4%
7.40 13.5%
11.50 8.7%
1.06 94.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLas-Palmas - Malaga

Las-Palmas
0 matches total
Malaga
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history