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Start
10.06.2026 17:00 UTC
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10.06.2026 17:00 UTC
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Spain: Segunda - Povyshenie - Playoff
Malaga - Las-Palmas
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Malaga - Las-Palmas June 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malaga.
Line favourite market consensus: Malaga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.23 / 2 3.44
- 1X2 market: Malaga 43.9% / X 29.0% / Las-Palmas 27.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.0%
1
43.9%
X
28.9%
2
27.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Segunda DivisiónLeague table
Malaga
DWWDW
Las-Palmas
DLWDW
Best price
across 13 books
1
2.14
Unibet
X
3.48
Marathonbet
2
3.95
10Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Malaga
W-D-L 6-2-2
Scored 2.10
Conceded 1.20
xG 1.47
xGA 1.30
Corners 4.9
1 +4.92
X -2.07
2 -5.60
1 (DNB) +2.56
Las-Palmas
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 1.40
Conceded 1.40
xG 1.52
xGA 1.10
Corners 4.4
1 +3.27
X -5.50
2 -1.65
1 (DNB) +1.07
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Malaga
Rating 1607
xG 1.28
Win 39%
Las-Palmas
Rating 1573
xG 1.15
Win 33%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Malaga - Las-Palmas
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.47
market consensus · line only
X
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
4.90
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.30
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.95
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
4.40
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.90 20.4% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 1.07 93.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 5.80 17.2% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 2.30 43.5% |
Match center
Malaga
W
Malaga
1:0
Las-Palmas
Las-Palmas
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMalaga - Las-Palmas
Malaga
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form