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Spain: Tersera - Povyshenie
Spain: Tersera - Povyshenie
14.06.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Spain: Tersera - Povyshenie

Real Mursiya (B) - Pamplona

Football
R
Real Mursiya (B)
2 : 1
Finished
P
Pamplona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Mursiya (B) - Pamplona June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / X 1.11 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 9.2%
X 82.5%
2 8.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Real Mursiya (B) - Pamplona

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.72 market consensus · line only
X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 5.30 18.9%
1x 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.04 96.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
4.10 24.4%
12.00 8.3%
11.50 8.7%
1.65 60.6%
11.50 8.7%
11.50 8.7%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.18 84.8%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 — — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 1 — — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 1.5 — — — 1.15 87.0%
Over 2 — — — 6.60 15.2%
Over 2.5 2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.03 49.3% 5.80 17.2%
Over 3 — — — 6.00 16.7%
Over 3.5 — — — 7.60 13.2%
Over 4 — — — 4.60 21.7%
Over 4.5 — — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 5.5 — — — 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 — — — 3.00 33.3%
Under 1 — — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.5 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% —