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Sweden. League 1
Sweden. League 1
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden. League 1

Landskruna - Norrkoping

Football
Landskruna
Landskruna
- : -
Finished
Norrkoping
Norrkoping
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Norrkoping — 45%

Pure model vs market (2 · Norrkoping): model 49% · market 44% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Landskruna29.6%
X · draw25.9%
2 · Norrkoping44.5%

Model estimate: win Landskruna 29.6%, draw 25.9%, win Norrkoping 44.5%. Model favourite — Norrkoping.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Norrkoping (odds2.08) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Norrcheping: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Landskruna - Norrkoping July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrkoping.

Line favourite market consensus: Norrkoping. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.51 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Landskruna 29.6% / X 26.2% / Norrkoping 44.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 29.6%
X 26.2%
2 44.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Landskruna 1 : 1 Norrkoping
13.16
X3.50
22.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 74'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

74'
4% 19% 77%
Landskruna (1) Draw (X) Norrkoping (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

0:1 74'
Landskruna Norrkoping
47Attacks90
30Dangerous attacks61
2Shots on target2
67%Control (ball-safe)48%
2Corners3
9Fouls6

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

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Participant opinions
119 predictions Choose an outcome
1 6% 5
X 39% 29
2 53% 39
Double chance 1X 1.73 (2)
Total TB 2.5 1.65 (4) - TB 3 2.01 (2) - TB 5.5 7.80 (2)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.54 (3)
handicap1 handicap2:0 1.53 (2) - handicap1:0 2.38 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Norrkoping 53%
📐 Math model Norrkoping 45%
💹 Market Norrkoping 4417%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Landskruna - Norrkoping

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 73 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Landskruna 29.6% 29.6%
Draw 26.2% 25.9% draw risk
Norrkoping 44.2% 44.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.6% / 25.9% / 44.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,563 / 1,881 Landskruna / Norrkoping
RD 275 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,013-2,114 / 1,427-2,334 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%
X 4.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.12 market consensus · no value · model 29.6%
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 74.1%
1X 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +121.9% · model 55.5%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 70.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.00 33.3% 3.17 31.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.13 32.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.58 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 2.26 44.3%
yes 3.10 32.3% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.63 61.4% 1.69 59.2% 4.00 25.0%
x2 1.27 78.7% 1.32 75.8% 1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 8.00 12.5%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 17.00 5.9%
0_4 34.00 2.9%
0_5 81.00 1.2%
1_0 10.00 10.0%
1_1 6.25 16.0%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 12.00 8.3%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 67.00 1.5%
2_0 15.00 6.7%
2_1 9.00 11.1%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 17.00 5.9%
2_4 34.00 2.9%
2_5 81.00 1.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-04-28 · Landskruna 3:1 Norrcheping
2026-02-28 · Landskruna 0:2 Norrcheping
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.2 (Betcity) · X 3.5 (Pari) · 2 2.12 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.15 3.5 2.03
Winline 3.05 3.45 2.11
Fonbet 3.15 3.5 2.03
Betcity 3.2 3.5 2.07
Liga Stavok 3.05 3.45 2.12
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Landskruna
D
18.07 11:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Landskruna 0:0 EstersundEstersund
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Norrkoping
W W W
19.07 09:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Norrkoping 3:0 SandvikensSandvikens
09.06 15:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Norrkoping 2:1 OddevoldOddevold
31.05 13:00 UTC Sweden: First League Standings
Norrkoping 2:0 KhelsingborgKhelsingborg
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLandskruna - Norrkoping

Landskruna
0 matches total
Norrkoping
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history