football.main.1x2: p1
Value Unibet HOME @ 3.65 (EV +6%, Pinnacle fair 29%)
Sweden. League 1
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oddevold.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Unibet HOME @ 3.65 (EV +6%, Pinnacle fair 29%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.19 31.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.13 32.0% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.46 28.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 5.90 17.0% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Oddevold
Norrcheping
Full head-to-head historyNorrby - Oddevold
The Norrby - Oddevold breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.