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Sweden: Pervyy severnyy Division Standings
Sweden: Pervyy severnyy Division Standings
13.06.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
13.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Sweden: Pervyy severnyy Division Standings

Yarfalla - Arlanda

Football
Y
Yarfalla
2 : 3
Finished
A
Arlanda

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yarfalla - Arlanda June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arlanda.

Line favourite market consensus: Arlanda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.64 / X 3.79 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: Yarfalla 24.9% / X 23.9% / Arlanda 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 24.8%
X 23.8%
2 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ettan - Norra
League table
Yarfalla
#1211 ptsGP 113-2-615:22
LLWWL
Arlanda
#520 ptsGP 115-5-118:8
WLDDD
Best price across 13 books
1 3.90 BetVictor
X 4.34 Pinnacle
2 1.82 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Yarfalla
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.40 Conceded 2.11 xG 1.44 xGA 1.74
1 -1.10 X -6.40 2 +3.92 1 (DNB) -2.59
Arlanda
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.62 xGA 1.40
1 -0.45 X +7.70 2 -6.00 1 (DNB) +2.78

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Yarfalla
Rating 1406
Arlanda
Rating 1604

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Yarfalla - Arlanda

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 3.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.90 25.6% 3.66 27.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0%
1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3%
1x 4.40 22.7%
x2 1.20 83.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
3.30 30.3%
9.50 10.5%
2.02 49.5%
7.50 13.3%
12.00 8.3%
9.50 10.5%
1.25 80.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.70 58.8%
Match center
Arlanda
W
07.06 12:00 UTC Sweden: Pervyy severnyy Division Standings
Arlanda 2:0 AssiriskaAssiriska
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYarfalla - Arlanda

Yarfalla
0 matches total
Arlanda
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history