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Sweden. Division 2. South
Sweden. Division 2. South
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Sweden. Division 2. South

Rosengård - Jonkopings Sodra

Football
Rosengård
Rosengård
- : -
Not started
J
Jonkopings Sodra
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rosengård — 64%

1 · Rosengård ✓ Pick63.7%
market48%
X · draw17.5%
market26%
2 · Jonkopings Sodra18.8%
market26%

Model estimate: win Rosengård 63.7%, draw 17.5%, win Jonkopings Sodra 18.8%. Model favourite — Rosengård.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rosengård (odds1.89) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Rosengard: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rosengård - Jonkopings Sodra August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rosengård. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.89 / X 3.56 / 2 3.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 ✓ Pick 48.0%
X 25.5%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Ettan - Södra
League table
Rosengård
#522 ptsGP 146-4-423:19
ARRAY
Jonkopings Sodra
#1018 ptsGP 145-3-620:15
ARRAY
Best price across 8 books
1 2.00 Unibet
X 3.70 Betano
2 3.80 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rosengård
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.71 xGA 1.18
Jonkopings Sodra
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.71 xGA 1.08

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rosengård
Rating 1549 xG 1.57 Win 49%
Jonkopings Sodra
Rating 1558 xG 1.08 Win 26%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 48.0% @ 1.89 / X 25.5% @ 3.56 / 2 26.5% @ 3.43
Match center

Rosengård - Jonkopings Sodra

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rosengård 48.0% 63.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.5% 17.5% draw risk
Jonkopings Sodra 26.5% 18.8%
xG - 1.57 : 1.08

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 63.7% / 17.5% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,749 / 1,478 Rosengard / Yencheping
RD 283 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,183-2,315 / 1,041-1,915 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.43 market consensus · no value · model 18.8%
X 3.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.89 market consensus · value +20.4% · model 63.7%
Handicap
2 0 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.63 61.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.45 40.8%
X 2.20 45.5%
4.02 24.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.69 59.2%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.46 68.5%
2.50 40.0%
Match center
Rosengård
W
14.06 12:00 UTC Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Rosengård 3:0 Skevde AIK
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Jonkopings Sodra
L W
13.06 09:00 UTC Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Jonkopings Sodra 1:2 Tvakers
06.06 12:00 UTC Sweden: Pervyy yuzhnyy Division Standings
Jonkopings Sodra 4:1 TrollkhettanTrollkhettan
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points