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Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg
Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg

Djurgardens IF - Vasteras SK FK

Football
Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF
- : -
Not started
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK

Djurgardens IF take on Vasteras SK FK on August 2, 2026 in the Champions League UEFA. Third qualifying round. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Djurgardens IF 3-1-0, Vasteras SK FK 3-1-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Djurgardens IF — 55%

1 · Djurgardens IF55.3%
X · draw19.2%
2 · Vasteras SK FK25.5%

Model estimate: win Djurgardens IF 55.3%, draw 19.2%, win Vasteras SK FK 25.5%. Model favourite — Djurgardens IF.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Djurgardens IF (odds1.43) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • • Model backs Yurgorden: probability 55% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Djurgardens IF - Vasteras SK FK August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Djurgardens IF. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.72 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 64.5%
X 19.6%
2 15.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Allsvenskan
League table
Djurgardens IF
#423 ptsGP 137-2-427:15
Vasteras SK FK
#522 ptsGP 146-4-424:23
Best price across 13 books
1 1.47 Pinnacle
X 4.90 Dafabet
2 6.10 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Djurgardens IF
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.30 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.87 xGA 1.16 Corners 7.1
Vasteras SK FK
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.29 xGA 1.52 Corners 3.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences
F. Nsabiyumva — Injury J. Ring — Injury L. Hien — Inactive M. Diallo — Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)
Djurgardens IF
Rating 1604 xG 2.04 Win 63%
Vasteras SK FK
Rating 1515 xG 0.94 Win 17%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 64.5% @ 1.43 / X 19.6% @ 4.72 / 2 15.9% @ 5.80
Match center

Djurgardens IF - Vasteras SK FK

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Djurgardens IF 64.5% 55.3% market and model agree
Draw 19.6% 19.2% draw risk
Vasteras SK FK 15.9% 25.5%
xG - 2.10 : 0.92

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.3% / 19.2% / 25.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,744 / 1,673 Djurgardens / Vasteras
RD 221 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,303-2,185 / 1,308-2,037 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 market consensus · no value · model 25.5%
X 4.72 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 55.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.59 62.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.85 54.1%
X 2.65 37.7%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.04 49.0%
Under 1.5 1.64 61.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.13 47.0%
1.64 61.0%
Match center
Djurgardens IF
W D W W
25.07 11:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Djurgardens IF 1:0 DegerforsDegerfors
20.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Djurgardens IF 0:0 ErgryuteErgryute
13.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Djurgardens IF 3:0 KhalmstadKhalmstad
05.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Djurgardens IF 4:2 Khekken
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
Vasteras SK FK
W D W W L
24.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Vasteras SK FK 2:0 ErgryuteErgryute
17.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Vasteras SK FK 0:0 MelbyuMelbyu
12.07 10:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Vasteras SK FK 2:0 DegerforsDegerfors
04.07 11:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Vasteras SK FK 3:1 KhalmstadKhalmstad
31.05 10:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Vasteras SK FK 4:5 GeteborgGeteborg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points