UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
12.07.2026 12:30 UTC 12 round
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

GAIS - Elfsborg

Futbol
G
GAIS
1 : 0
Finished
Elfsborg
Elfsborg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction GAIS - Elfsborg July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like GAIS.

Line favourite market consensus: GAIS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.51 / 2 3.87
  • 1X2 market: GAIS 49.4% / X 26.6% / Elfsborg 24.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 49.5%
X 26.5%
2 24.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Allsvenskan
League table
GAIS
#419 ptsGP 135-4-418:12
WDWLW
Elfsborg
#618 ptsGP 134-6-317:14
LLDDD
Best price across 14 books
1 1.95 Superbet
X 3.67 Pinnacle
2 4.18 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
GAIS
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.41 xGA 1.31 Corners 5.4
Elfsborg
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.35 xGA 1.23 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
GAIS
Rating 1595 xG 1.50 Win 48%
Elfsborg
Rating 1539 xG 1.04 Win 26%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

GAIS 2 : 1 Elfsborg
11.87
X3.54
23.99

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 13:54 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 24%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:1
ChatGPT updated12.07.2026 14:19 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 24%
Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 13:32 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 24%
Bet:1
Qwen updated11.07.2026 14:02 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 24%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 26% 24% 2:0 Under 2.5 1
ChatGPT 50% 27% 24% 1
Claude 50% 26% 24% 1
Qwen 50% 26% 24% 1

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Match center
Referee Adam Ladebek (Sweden) 27' Oskar Ogren 52' 1:0 Robert Frosti Torkelsson 82' Robin Wendin Thomasson 90+1' Yunas Lindberg 0' 45' 90'
Start 12.07.2026 12:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models GAIS 50%
💹 Market GAIS 4940%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

GAIS - Elfsborg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi GAIS - Elfsborg, 12 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Shvetsii po futbolu (Allsvenskan) 2026, 12 round. GAIS - Elfsborg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.88 market consensus · line only
X 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.54 28.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.85 26.0% 3.94 25.4% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.17 85.5% 1.97 50.8%
yes 4.50 22.2% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 6.10 16.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 9.50 10.5%
0_1 9.50 10.5%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 6.25 16.0%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 19.00 5.3%
Match center
GAIS
D
05.07 15:00 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
GAIS 1:1 Brommapoykarna
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Elfsborg
L
05.07 12:30 UTC Sweden: Premier League Standings
Elfsborg 1:2 KhammarbyuKhammarbyu
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGAIS - Elfsborg

GAIS
0 matches total
Elfsborg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 GAIS
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Elfsborg
GAIS Team comparison Elfsborg
12 Games 12
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 2
17 Scored 17
12 Conceded 13
16 Points 18
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14.7 Shots on goal 10.75
4.42 Shots on target 3.42
t Frosti Torkelsson Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic 1:0 52' Nakazaniya Oskar Ogren 27' Robin Wendin Thomasson 82' Yunas Lindberg 90+1'

GAIS Elfsborg 12 Games 12 4 Wins 4 Draws 6 4 Losses 2 17 Scored 17 12 Conceded 13 16 Points 18 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.7 Shots on goal 10.75 4.42 Udary v stvor 3.42 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.08 Uglovye 3.25 1.5 Offsaydy 1.17 13.75 Foly 11.08 50.42 % vladeniya myachom 44 2 Warnings 1.75 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 29.11.2026 Sweden — Allsvenskan — 2026 Elfsborg –:– GAIS 30 round Goly Robert Frosti Torkelsson Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic 1:0 52' Nakazaniya Oskar Ogren 27' Robin Wendin Thomasson 82' Yunas Lindberg 90+1'