Sweden. Division 3. Sodra Svealand
Sleipner go head-to-head with Karlslund on August 1, 2026 in the Sweden. Division 3. Sodra Svealand.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sleipner 2-1-0, Karlslund 0-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sleipner — 63%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sleipner): model 62% · market 63% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Sleipner 63.5%, draw 20.1%, win Karlslund 16.4%. Model favourite — Sleipner.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.49 67.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.45 40.8% | 2.60 38.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | |
| X | 2.53 39.5% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Full head-to-head historySleipner - Karlslund
The Sleipner - Karlslund breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
