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Sweden. Women. Major League
Sweden. Women. Major League
01.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

Sweden. Women. Major League

Häcken W - Eskilstuna United W

Football
H
Häcken W
- : -
Not started
E
Eskilstuna United W
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Häcken W75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Häcken W): model 58% · market 77% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Häcken W ✓ Pick75.1%
market77%
X · draw15.9%
market16%
2 · Eskilstuna United W8.9%
market8%

Model estimate: win Häcken W 75.1%, draw 15.9%, win Eskilstuna United W 8.9%. Model favourite — Häcken W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Häcken W - Eskilstuna United W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Häcken W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 5.90 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 ✓ Pick 76.9%
X 15.5%
2 7.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Damallsvenskan
League table
Häcken W
#230 ptsGP 1110-0-126:10
ARRAY
Eskilstuna United W
#617 ptsGP 115-2-49:10
ARRAY
Best price across 10 books
1 1.22 Bet365
X 6.29 Pinnacle
2 12.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Häcken W
W-D-L 9-0-1 Scored 2.30 Conceded 0.80 xG 2.44 xGA 0.87 Corners 5.4
Eskilstuna United W
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.15 xGA 1.76 Corners 4.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Häcken W
Rating 1866 xG 2.34 Win 73%
Eskilstuna United W
Rating 1548 xG 0.74 Win 10%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 76.9% @ 1.19 / X 15.5% @ 5.90 / 2 7.6% @ 12.00
Match center

Häcken W - Eskilstuna United W

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Häcken W 76.3% 75.1% market and model agree
Draw 15.7% 15.9% draw risk
Eskilstuna United W 8.1% 8.9%
xG - 2.44 : 0.64

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.1% / 15.9% / 8.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,827 / 1,549 Hacken (w) / Eskilstuna United (w)
RD 257 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,314-2,341 / 964-2,133 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
Double chance
12 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 84.1%
X2 3.90 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.05 95.2% 1.10 90.9%
x2 3.50 28.6% 4.30 23.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.57 63.7%
X 2.78 36.0%
8.90 11.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 1.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Häcken W
W W
13.06 11:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Häcken W 1:0 Khammarbyu (Zh)
31.05 10:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Häcken W 3:0 Kristianstads (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Eskilstuna United W
D
13.06 10:00 UTC Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Eskilstuna United W 1:1 Malme (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points