Sweden. Women. Major League
Hammarby (w) - Vaxjo DFF (Zh)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Hammarby (w) — 81%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hammarby (w)): model 53% · market 82% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hammarby (w) 80.6%, draw 12.6%, win Vaxjo DFF (Zh) 6.9%. Model favourite — Hammarby (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hammarby (w) - Vaxjo DFF (Zh) July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / X 7.70 / 2 14.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Hammarby (w) - Vaxjo DFF (Zh)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 5.80 17.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% |
| 10.50 9.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.11 | 6.9 | 15 |
| Winline | 1.12 | 7.2 | 15 |
| Fonbet | 1.12 | 6.8 | 14 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.12 | 7.4 | 16 |
Full head-to-head historyHammarby (w) - Vaxjo DFF (Zh)
Match history
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The Hammarby (w) - Vaxjo DFF (Zh) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form