Match center
Start
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Sweden: Vysshaya Womens League Standings
Malmo (w) - Piteo (Zh)
M
Malmo (w)
4
:
1
Finished
P
Piteo (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Malmo (w) — 65%
Pure model vs market (1 · Malmo (w)): model 51% · market 65% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Malmo (w) 64.6%, draw 21.0%, win Piteo (Zh) 14.4%. Model favourite — Malmo (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Malmo (w) (odds1.38)
Score 2:0
confidence 65%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Malme (Zh): probability 65% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.38)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Malmo (w) - Piteo (Zh) July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmo (w).
Strongest: Malmo (w) - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.33 / 2 6.47
- 1X2 market: Malmo (w) 65.2% / X 20.9% / Piteo (Zh) 14.0%
- Glicko: Malmo (w) 64.6% / X 21.0% / Piteo (Zh) 14.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 ✓ Pick
65.1%
X
20.9%
2
14.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Malmo (w) 65%
💹 Market
Malmo (w) 6516%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Malmo (w) - Piteo (Zh)
Form
3/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
4:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 64.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.190 / LogLoss 0.436
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 64.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.190 / LogLoss 0.436
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Malmo (w)
65.5%
64.6%
market and model agree
Draw
20.9%
21.0%
draw risk
Piteo (Zh)
13.6%
14.4%
1X2: 5 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
64.6% / 21.0% / 14.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,532 / 1,404
Malmo (w) / Piteo (Zh)
RD
236 / 289
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,060-2,004 / 827-1,982
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.53
market consensus · no value · model 14.4%
X
4.33
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.39
market consensus · no value · model 64.6%
Double chance
12
1.14
market consensus · no value · model 79.0%
1X
1.04
market consensus · no value · model 85.6%
X2
2.60
market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
Handicap
2 0
4.68
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.54
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Dafabet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 6.76 14.8% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.25 16.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Unibet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
Match center
Malmo (w)
L
D
W
Malmo (w)
0:1
Vittse (Zh)
Malmo (w)
1:1
Eskilstuna Yunayted (Zh)
Malmo (w)
3:0
Vaxjo DFF (Zh)
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.7
Conceded
4
Points
Piteo (Zh)
L
Piteo (Zh)
1:2
Brommapoykarna (Zh)
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMalmo (w) - Piteo (Zh)
Malmo (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Malmo (w) - Piteo (Zh) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form