Match center
Start
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished
TANZANIYa: Federation Cup
Simba - Azam
S
Simba
1
:
0
Finished
A
Azam
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Simba - Azam July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Simba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 5.20 / 2 4.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 39.6%
1
69.6%
X
13.8%
2
16.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Simba
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Azam
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Simba | Azam | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | — |
| Average total | 2.8 | — |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | 60% | — |
| Matches counted | 5 | — |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Simba - Azam
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.25
market consensus · line only
X
5.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.12
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.15
Fonbet · line only
X2
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
3.28
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.10 90.9% |
| yes | 5.50 18.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.89 52.9% | 2.03 49.3% | 9.00 11.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 6.10 16.4% | |
| — | — | 5.90 17.0% | |
| — | — | 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 1.08 92.6% | |
| — | — | 1.08 92.6% | |
| — | — | 1.03 97.1% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 11.50 8.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historySimba - Azam
Simba
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals