Match center
Start
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg
Polisi Tanzania - Mbeyya Kvanza
P
Polisi Tanzania
3
:
1
Finished
M
Mbeyya Kvanza
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Polisi Tanzania - Mbeyya Kvanza July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Polisi Tanzania. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / X 3.90 / 2 14.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 20.5%
1
72.8%
X
21.3%
2
5.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Ligi Kuu Bara - Relegation Playoffs
Team stats
Polisi Tanzania
LLWLWWWLWW
W 6 • D 0 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.5
13 place, 32 pts
Mbeyya Kvanza
WLLDLWLWDD
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.1
14 place, 30 pts
Head-to-head: 10 — Polisi Tanzania 2, draws 5, Mbeyya Kvanza 3 (goals 8:9)
- Tanzania Prisons — Mbeya City2026-05-04 1:2
- Mbeya City — Tanzania Prisons2025-10-21 1:2
- Mbeya City — Tanzania Prisons2022-12-25 1:2
- Tanzania Prisons — Mbeya City2022-09-09 1:1
- Tanzania Prisons — Mbeya City2022-02-27 1:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Polisi Tanzania
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Mbeyya Kvanza
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Polisi Tanzania - Mbeyya Kvanza
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
3.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
8.00
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.35
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.85
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 4.70 21.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| 7.60 13.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 8.00 12.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 5.20 19.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPolisi Tanzania - Mbeyya Kvanza
Polisi Tanzania
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals