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Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg
Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg

Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti

Futbol
Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 2
Finished
M
Mbeya Siti

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mbeya Siti.

Line favourite market consensus: Mbeya Siti. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.59 / X 3.01 / 2 2.01
  • 1X2 market: Tanzania Prisons 25.1% / X 30.0% / Mbeya Siti 44.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 25.1%
X 30.0%
2 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Tanzania Prisons
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Mbeya Siti
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Tanzania Prisons - Mbeya Siti

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.01 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Dafabet Marathonbet
3.65 27.4% 3.56 28.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% —
X 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.02 33.1%
1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 5.70 17.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.04 96.2%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
9.00 11.1%
9.00 11.1%
1.02 98.0%
12.50 8.0%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 1.75 1.48 67.6%
Over 2.0 1.66 60.2%
Over 2.25 1.97 50.8%
Over 2.5 2.27 44.1%
Over 2.75 2.62 38.2%
Over 3.0 3.42 29.2%
Over 3.25 3.84 26.0%
Over 3.5 4.25 23.5%
Over 4.0 8.10 12.4%
Under 0.5 7.10 14.1%
Under 1.0 5.90 17.0%
Under 1.25 3.50 28.6%
Under 1.5 2.66 37.6%
Under 1.75 2.33 42.9%