Match center
Start
16.07.2026 11:00 UTC
16.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Tanzania. Premier League. Play-out. Second leg
Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania
1
:
0
Finished
P
Polisi Tanzania
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania July 16, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tanzania Prisons.
Line favourite market consensus: Tanzania Prisons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 2.81 / 2 2.89
- 1X2 market: Tanzania Prisons 36.6% / X 32.1% / Polisi Tanzania 31.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.8%
1
36.7%
X
32.1%
2
31.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Ligi kuu BaraLeague table
Tanzania Prisons
WWLWW
Polisi Tanzania
not in table
Best price
across 9 books
1
3.10
Dafabet
X
4.30
1xBet
2
4.46
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tanzania Prisons
W-D-L 5-1-4
Scored 1.10
Conceded 1.50
xG 1.05
xGA 1.28
Corners 2.3
Polisi Tanzania
W-D-L 5-0-5
Scored 2.44
Conceded 1.67
xG 0.85
xGA 1.37
Corners 5.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Tanzania Prisons
Rating 1447
xG 1.56
Win 48%
Polisi Tanzania
Rating 1551
xG 1.08
Win 26%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Tanzania Prisons
1
:
1
Polisi Tanzania
12.18
X3.46
22.74
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.80
market consensus · line only
X
5.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.12
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.12
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.60
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.55
Fonbet · line only
1 0
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Yes
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.44 41.0% | |
| X | 2.75 36.4% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.85 35.1% |
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.91 34.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.84 35.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.04 96.2% |
| yes | 8.00 12.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 1.41 70.9% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 5.60 17.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 2_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
Match center
Tanzania Prisons
L
D
L
Tanzania Prisons
0:4
Polisi Tanzaniya
Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Mbeya Siti
Tanzania Prisons
0:2
Mbeya Siti
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
Polisi Tanzania
W
W
Polisi Tanzania
4:0
Tanzaniya Prizons
Polisi Tanzania
3:1
Mbeyya Kvanza
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania
Tanzania Prisons
1
matches total
Tanzania Prisons: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Polisi Tanzania: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Polisi Tanzaniya 0:4 (12.07 11:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (0:4, 12.07 11:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Tanzaniya Prizons
0:4
Polisi Tanzaniya