Match center
Start
30.06.2026 11:00 UTC
30.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
TANZANIYa: Premer-liga Standings
Simba - Kinondoni MS
S
Simba
1
:
0
Finished
K
Kinondoni MS
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Kinondoni MS (odds31.89)
Score 0:1 (odds7.82)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Kinondoni MS: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.91)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1 (odds 7.82).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Simba - Kinondoni MS June 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Simba.
Line favourite market consensus: Simba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / X 11.17 / 2 31.89
- 1X2 market: Simba 88.0% / X 8.7% / Kinondoni MS 3.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.2%
1
88.9%
X
8.2%
2
2.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Ligi kuu BaraLeague table
Simba
WWWWW
Kinondoni MS
LLLLL
Best price
across 9 books
1
1.04
William Hill
X
15.00
Unibet
2
56.00
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Simba
W-D-L 9-1-0
Scored 2.10
Conceded 0.40
xG 2.13
xGA 0.50
Corners 3.3
Kinondoni MS
W-D-L 0-0-10
Scored 0.80
Conceded 2.20
xG 0.71
xGA 2.38
Corners 2.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Simba
Rating 1782
Kinondoni MS
Rating 1302
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Simba - Kinondoni MS
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
8.35
market consensus · line only
1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
7.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.70
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | |
| X | 11.00 9.1% | 10.70 9.4% | 9.25 10.8% | 14.00 7.1% | 6.00 16.7% | 9.80 10.2% |
| 19.00 5.3% | 22.00 4.6% | 40.00 2.5% | 51.00 2.0% | 17.00 5.9% | 29.00 3.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| x2 | 7.80 12.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.47 68.0% |
Total
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.41 70.9% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 1.64 61.0% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 4.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 4.75 | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 5.0 | — | 2.70 37.0% |
| Over 5.25 | — | 2.92 34.3% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 3.14 31.9% |
| Over 6.0 | — | 4.60 21.7% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 5.25 19.1% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.60 62.5% | — |
Match center
Simba
W
Simba
2:1
Pamba
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySimba - Kinondoni MS
Simba
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals