UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
17.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

AC Milan - Liverpool

World Futbol
AC Milan
AC Milan
1 : 3
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Liverpool 17 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.74 / X 3.75 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 26.0% / X 25.9% / Liverpool 48.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 26.0%
X 25.9%
2 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Liverpool

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 3.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.74 26.7%
Х 3.75 26.7%
П2 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.88 53.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.42 41.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.76 36.2%
П2 1.49 67.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Liverpool

AC Milan
0 matches total
Liverpool
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history