UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
07.07.2026 16:00 UTC 1-й квалификационный раунд. 1-й матч
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Ararat-Armenia - Riga

World Futbol
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0
Finished
Riga
Riga

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ararat-Armenia - Riga 7 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ararat-Armenia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 7.60 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 42.3%
1 65.7%
X 9.2%
2 25.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
Best price across 13 books
1 2.95 Unibet
X 3.40 BetVictor
2 2.60 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers - 1st Round

Team stats

Ararat-Armenia
LWWDWWLWWD
W 6 • D 2 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.8
Riga
DWWWWWWDWW
W 8 • D 2 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:2.5 : 0.5

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ararat-Armenia 1 : 2 Riga
12.72
X3.22
22.54

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach
Ararat-Armenia
Tulipa, Manuel
Head coach
Riga
Gula, Adrian
Referee: Zabroda, Klym
Abovyan City Stadium

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

Match conditions

Match weather

Переменная облачность

Temperature
25.5°
Feels like
22.9°
Wind
26 km/h (gusts 47.9)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
48%
Cloud cover
58%

⚠ Strong wind complicates ball control and crosses — a factor toward a lower total.

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Stadium Футбольная академия
Start 07.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Ararat-Armenia - Riga

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Арарат-Армения - Рига, 7 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Лига чемпионов УЕФА 2026/2027, 1-й квалификационный раунд. 1-й матч. Арарат-Армения - Рига, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 1.97 50.8%
yes 6.00 16.7% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.43 69.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 6.40 15.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.26 30.7%
Х 2.14 46.7%
П2 3.26 30.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 1.5 2.35 42.6%
ТМ 1 1.82 55.0%
ТМ 1.5 1.53 65.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArarat-Armenia - Riga

Ararat-Armenia
0 matches total
Riga
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ararat-Armenia
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Riga
Ararat-Armenia Team comparison Riga
0 Игры 0
0 Победы 0
0 Ничьи 0
0 Поражения 0
0 Забито 0
0 Пропущено 0
0 Очки 0
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
0 Удары по воротам 0
0 Удары в створ 0
ификационный раунд. 2-й матч Голы Угу Оливейра 1:0 63' Карлос Франса Эдгар Григорян 2:0 86' Наказания Мохамед Бадамоси 54' Салах Улад 68' Френк Орол 72'

Арарат-Армения Рига 0 Игры 0 0 Победы 0 0 Ничьи 0 0 Поражения 0 0 Забито 0 0 Пропущено 0 0 Очки 0 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0 Предупреждения 0 0 Удаления 0 Следующий матч 14.07.2026 Лига чемпионов Рига –:– Арарат-Армения 1-й квалификационный раунд. 2-й матч Голы Угу Оливейра 1:0 63' Карлос Франса Эдгар Григорян 2:0 86' Наказания Мохамед Бадамоси 54' Салах Улад 68' Френк Орол 72'