Match center
Start
17.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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17.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen March 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.44 / 2 9.76
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 72.7% / X 17.6% / Bayer Leverkusen 9.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
72.7%
X
17.5%
2
9.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
56.6%
Under 2.5
43.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.42
market consensus · line only
X
5.44
market consensus · line only
1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.52
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.72
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.50
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.69
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.11
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.66 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.60 17.9% |
| 9.30 10.8% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.75 10.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.50 10.5% | 9.75 10.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.23 44.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.40 29.4% | 3.46 28.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Arsenal
D
W
W
W
W
Arsenal
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
3:2
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Arsenal
3:1
Inter
Inter
Arsenal
3:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Arsenal
3:1
Bavariya
Bavariya
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Bayer Leverkusen
D
D
W
W
L
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
0:0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
3:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
matches total
Arsenal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 11.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (11.03 17:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Arsenal
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
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