Match center
Start
01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain 1 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.75 / 2 5.30
- 1X2 market: Arsenal 55.8% / X 25.9% / Paris Saint Germain 18.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.0%
1
55.8%
X
25.9%
2
18.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.30
market consensus · line only
X
3.75
market consensus · line only
1
1.74
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.20
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.19
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.99
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.74 57.5% |
| Х | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 5.30 18.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.20 45.5% |
| home_away | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.19 84.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.99 50.3% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.28 78.1% |
| П2 | 3.92 25.5% |
Match center
Arsenal
D
Arsenal
0:0
Atalanta
Atalanta
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Girona
Girona
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals