UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
29.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain

World Futbol
Arsenal
Arsenal
0 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain 29 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 3.55 / 2 3.51
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 44.6% / X 27.5% / Paris Saint Germain 27.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.3%
1 44.6%
X 27.5%
2 27.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.51 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.19 45.7%
Х 3.55 28.2%
П2 3.51 28.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.57 63.7%
П2 2.52 39.7%
Match center
Arsenal
W W W W D
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
08.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 3:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 1:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:0 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Paris Saint Germain
L W D L W
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 GironaGirona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Paris Saint Germain

Arsenal
1 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Arsenal 2:0 (01.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 01.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal
2:0
Paris Saint Germain