UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk

World Futbol
Arsenal
Arsenal
1 : 0
Finished
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk 22 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.12 / X 9.50 / 2 26.00
  • 1X2 market: Arsenal 86.1% / X 10.2% / Shakhtar Donetsk 3.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 86.1%
X 10.2%
2 3.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Arsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 6.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.09 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
Х 9.50 10.5%
П2 26.00 3.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 6.71 14.9%
home_away 1.09 91.7%
home_draw 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.12 47.2%
ТМ 3.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.03 97.1%
П2 19.57 5.1%
Match center
Arsenal
W D
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:0 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Shakhtar Donetsk
L D
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal - Shakhtar Donetsk

Arsenal
0 matches total
Shakhtar Donetsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history