Match center
Start
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa - Bayern München
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Bayern München 2 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.45 / X 4.23 / 2 1.76
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 21.8% / X 23.0% / Bayern München 55.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
21.8%
X
23.0%
2
55.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Bayern München
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.76
market consensus · line only
X
4.23
market consensus · line only
1
4.45
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.23
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
2.21
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.45 22.5% |
| Х | 4.23 23.6% |
| П2 | 1.76 56.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.23 81.3% |
| home_away | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 2.21 45.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.37 42.2% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.40 29.4% |
| П2 | 1.35 74.1% |
Match center
Aston Villa
W
Aston Villa
3:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Bayern München
W
Bayern München
9:2
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
9.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Bayern München
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals