Match center
Start
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa - Bologna
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Bologna 22 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / X 3.84 / 2 6.20
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 59.1% / X 25.2% / Bologna 15.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
59.1%
X
25.2%
2
15.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Bologna
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.20
market consensus · line only
X
3.84
market consensus · line only
1
1.64
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.64 61.0% |
| Х | 3.84 26.0% |
| П2 | 6.20 16.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.39 41.8% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.22 82.0% |
| П2 | 4.64 21.6% |
Match center
Aston Villa
W
W
Aston Villa
1:0
Bavariya
Bavariya
Aston Villa
3:0
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Bologna
L
D
Bologna
0:2
Liverpul
Liverpul
Bologna
0:0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Bologna
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals