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Start
10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Atalanta - Bayern München
1
:
6
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atalanta - Bayern München March 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.79 / X 4.46 / 2 1.64
- 1X2 market: Atalanta 20.0% / X 21.5% / Bayern München 58.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.3%
1
20.0%
X
21.5%
2
58.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atalanta - Bayern München
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.64
market consensus · line only
X
4.46
market consensus · line only
1
4.79
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.21
market consensus · line only
1X
2.28
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.63
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.70
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.50
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.50
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.55 22.0% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.85 20.6% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.58 38.8% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% |
| home_draw | 2.15 46.5% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.31 43.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.70 27.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Atalanta
W
L
L
L
W
Atalanta
4:1
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0:2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0:1
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
2:3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Atalanta
2:1
Chelsea
Chelsea
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Bayern München
W
W
W
L
W
Bayern München
2:1
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
2:0
Union St. Gilloise
Bayern München
3:1
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Bayern München
1:3
Arsenal
Arsenal
Bayern München
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Bayern München
Atalanta
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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