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Start
25.02.2026 17:45 UTC
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25.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund February 25, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.18 / X 3.75 / 2 3.11
- 1X2 market: Atalanta 43.8% / X 25.5% / Borussia Dortmund 30.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
43.8%
X
25.5%
2
30.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.11
market consensus · line only
X
3.75
market consensus · line only
1
2.18
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.70
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.35
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.00
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.43
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.34
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.14 46.7% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.51 39.8% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.38 72.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Atalanta
L
L
L
W
W
Atalanta
0:2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0:1
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
2:3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Atalanta
2:1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Atalanta
3:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Borussia Dortmund
W
L
L
D
W
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Atalanta
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Inter
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Borussia Dortmund
2:2
Bodo/Glimt
Borussia Dortmund
4:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
matches total
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Borussia Dortmund 0:2 (17.02 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 17.02 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Atalanta
0:2
Borussia Dortmund
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