Match center
Start
29.04.2026 19:00 UTC
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29.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Arsenal
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Arsenal April 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.15 / X 3.33 / 2 2.33
- 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 30.3% / X 28.7% / Arsenal 41.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
30.3%
X
28.7%
2
41.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atletico Madrid - Arsenal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.33
market consensus · line only
X
3.33
market consensus · line only
1
3.15
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.35
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.60
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.37
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.25
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.72
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.22
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.84
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.26 44.3% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.62 61.7% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.53 65.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.01 49.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.95 33.9% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — |
Match center
Atletico Madrid
L
W
L
W
W
Atletico Madrid
1:2
Barselona
Barselona
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Barselona
Barselona
Atletico Madrid
2:3
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Atletico Madrid
5:2
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Atletico Madrid
4:1
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
9
Points
Arsenal
D
W
W
D
W
Arsenal
0:0
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Arsenal
1:0
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Arsenal
2:0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
3:2
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Madrid - Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
1
matches total
Atletico Madrid: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Arsenal 0:4 (21.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (0:4, 21.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Atletiko Madrid
0:4
Arsenal
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