UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Атлетико Мадрид - Lille

World Futbol
Атлетико Мадрид
Атлетико Мадрид
1 : 3
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Атлетико Мадрид - Lille 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.61 / 2 7.41
  • 1X2 market: Атлетико Мадрид 65.9% / X 21.0% / Lille 13.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 65.9%
X 21.0%
2 13.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Атлетико Мадрид - Lille

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.41 market consensus · line only
X 4.61 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.47 68.0%
Х 4.61 21.7%
П2 7.41 13.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.85 35.1%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.81 55.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.16 86.2%
П2 5.81 17.2%
Match center
Атлетико Мадрид
L W
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Атлетико Мадрид 0:4 BenficaBenfica
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Атлетико Мадрид 2:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points
Lille
W L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lille 1:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lille 0:2 Sporting CPSporting CP
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points