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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid - Tottenham

World Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5 : 2
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Tottenham March 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.89 / 2 5.04
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 56.5% / X 24.6% / Tottenham 19.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 56.5%
X 24.5%
2 18.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Tottenham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.63 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.01 24.9% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2% 4.86 20.6% 5.25 19.1% 5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%
Over 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.0 2.07 48.3%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6%
Under 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.0 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
W D L D W
24.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 4:1 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
18.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 3:3 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 1:2 Bodo/Glimt
21.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 1:1 GalatasarayGalatasaray
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 3:2 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Tottenham
W W W L W
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Tottenham 2:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
20.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Tottenham 2:0 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Tottenham 3:0 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Tottenham 3:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Tottenham 4:0 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points