UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona - Bayern München

World Futbol
Barcelona
Barcelona
4 : 1
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Bayern München 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 3.89 / 2 2.46
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 35.5% / X 25.0% / Bayern München 39.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 35.5%
X 25.0%
2 39.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Barcelona - Bayern München

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 2.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.74 36.5%
Х 3.89 25.7%
П2 2.46 40.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.60 62.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 3.5 1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.04 49.0%
П2 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Barcelona
W L
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 5:0 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 1:2 MonacoMonaco
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Bayern München
L W
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 9:2 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
4.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points