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Start
18.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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18.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Barcelona - Newcastle
7
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barcelona - Newcastle March 18, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.76 / 2 5.29
- 1X2 market: Barcelona 61.9% / X 20.1% / Newcastle 18.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 68.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
61.9%
X
20.0%
2
18.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5
68.6%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Barcelona - Newcastle
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.29
market consensus · line only
X
4.76
market consensus · line only
1
1.54
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.49
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.00
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.75
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.37
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.99
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.64
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.45
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 4.65 21.5% | 4.85 20.6% | 5.04 19.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 5.30 18.9% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.29 18.9% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.65 37.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.50 40.0% |
| yes | 1.44 69.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.45 40.8% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
Barcelona
D
W
W
W
L
Barcelona
1:1
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Barcelona
4:1
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Barcelona
4:2
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
Barcelona
2:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Barcelona
0:3
Chelsea
Chelsea
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
10
Points
Newcastle
D
W
W
D
W
Newcastle
1:1
Barselona
Barselona
Newcastle
3:2
Qarabag
Qarabag
Newcastle
6:1
Qarabag
Qarabag
Newcastle
1:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
3:0
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBarcelona - Newcastle
Barcelona
2
matches total
Barcelona: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Newcastle: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Barselona 2:1 (18.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 18.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (10.03 20:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Barselona
1:1
Nyukasl
Barselona
2:1
Nyukasl
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