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Start
11.03.2026 17:45 UTC
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11.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal March 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.
Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.19 / X 4.34 / 2 1.53
- 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 15.5% / X 22.0% / Arsenal 62.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
15.5%
X
22.0%
2
62.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.53
market consensus · line only
X
4.34
market consensus · line only
1
6.19
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.22
market consensus · line only
1X
2.54
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.12
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.51
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.89
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.09
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.89
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.86
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.00 16.7% | 6.20 16.1% | 6.20 16.1% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.20 16.1% | 6.50 15.4% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.47 22.4% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.40 22.7% |
| 1.51 66.2% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 2.45 40.8% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.53 39.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 25.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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