UEFA Champions League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bayern München — 70%
Model estimate: win Bayern München 69.8%, draw 17.2%, win Atalanta 13.0%. Model favourite — Bayern München.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Bayern München: Win 1.39 Bayern München: Draw 5.72 Atalanta Win: 6.94 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 1.95 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.95 Individualnyy total golov Bayern München bolshe 2.5: 1.98 Individualnyy total golov Bayern München menshe 2.5: 1.84 Individualnyy…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | |
| X | 5.25 19.1% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.76 17.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.60 17.9% |
| 6.60 15.2% | 7.60 13.2% | 7.04 14.2% | 6.00 16.7% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.00 14.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.56 64.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.95 33.9% | 3.06 32.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Bayern München
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
PSV Eindhoven
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Atalanta
Bavariya
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Athletic Club
Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Atalanta
Atalanta
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Bayern München - Atalanta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
Benoît Bastien