Match center
Start
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Benfica - Атлетико Мадрид
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Benfica - Атлетико Мадрид 2 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.32 / 2 2.73
- 1X2 market: Benfica 35.0% / X 29.3% / Атлетико Мадрид 35.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.7%
1
35.0%
X
29.3%
2
35.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Benfica - Атлетико Мадрид
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.73
market consensus · line only
X
3.32
market consensus · line only
1
2.78
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.49
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.51
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.78 36.0% |
| Х | 3.32 30.1% |
| П2 | 2.73 36.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.49 67.1% |
| home_away | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.51 66.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 | 1.92 52.1% |
Match center
Benfica
W
Benfica
2:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Атлетико Мадрид
W
Атлетико Мадрид
2:1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Атлетико Мадрид
Benfica
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals