UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
18.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk

World Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 0
Finished
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk 18 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.60 / 2 4.04
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 49.0% / X 27.0% / Shakhtar Donetsk 24.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 49.0%
X 27.0%
2 24.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 47.2%
Under 2.5 52.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.86 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.60 27.8%
П2 4.04 24.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.86 53.8%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.07 48.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.44 69.4%
П2 2.93 34.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Shakhtar Donetsk

Bologna
0 matches total
Shakhtar Donetsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history