UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund - Celtic

World Futbol
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
7 : 1
Finished
Celtic
Celtic

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Celtic 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.99 / 2 6.31
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 65.3% / X 19.4% / Celtic 15.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 65.3%
X 19.4%
2 15.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Celtic

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.31 market consensus · line only
X 4.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.48 67.6%
Х 4.99 20.0%
П2 6.31 15.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.83 35.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.12 47.2%
ТМ 3.5 1.79 55.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
П2 5.09 19.7%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
W
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Celtic
W
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Celtic 5:1 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - Celtic

Borussia Dortmund
0 matches total
Celtic
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history