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Start
17.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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17.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Chelsea - Paris Saint Germain
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chelsea - Paris Saint Germain March 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 4.23 / 2 3.02
- 1X2 market: Chelsea 45.7% / X 22.6% / Paris Saint Germain 31.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 66.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
45.7%
X
22.6%
2
31.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
66.7%
Under 2.5
33.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Chelsea - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.02
market consensus · line only
X
4.23
market consensus · line only
1
2.09
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.76
market consensus · line only
12
1.22
market consensus · line only
1X
1.39
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.79
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.42
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.94
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.87
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.83
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.84
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.34 23.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.40 22.7% |
| 2.88 34.7% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.14 31.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.94 34.0% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.73 57.8% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
Chelsea
L
W
W
L
W
Chelsea
2:5
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
3:2
Napoli
Napoli
Chelsea
1:0
Pafos
Pafos
Chelsea
1:2
Atalanta
Atalanta
Chelsea
3:0
Barselona
Barselona
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
9
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
D
L
Paris Saint Germain
5:2
Chelsea
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
1
matches total
Chelsea: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 2:5 (11.03 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
7 goals (2:5, 11.03 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Chelsea
2:5
Paris Saint Germain
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