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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Club Brugge KV - Atletico Madrid

World Football
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
3 : 3
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club Brugge KV - Atletico Madrid February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.76 / X 3.69 / 2 1.96
  • 1X2 market: Club Brugge KV 25.4% / X 25.9% / Atletico Madrid 48.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 25.4%
X 25.9%
2 48.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Club Brugge KV - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 3.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.86 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.65 27.4% 3.65 27.4% 3.92 25.5% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.75 1.97 50.8%
Over 3.0 2.06 48.5%
Over 3.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Club Brugge KV
W W L L D
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Club Brugge KV 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
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Club Brugge KV 4:1 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
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Club Brugge KV 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
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Club Brugge KV 0:3 Sporting CPSporting CP
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Club Brugge KV 3:3 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Atletico Madrid
L D W W W
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 1:2 Bodo/Glimt
21.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 1:1 GalatasarayGalatasaray
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 3:2 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 2:1 InterInter
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 3:1 Union St. Gilloise
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points