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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
12.08.2025 18:15 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Ferencvarosi TC - Ludogorets

World Football
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
3 : 0
Finished
Ludogorets
Ludogorets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferencvarosi TC - Ludogorets August 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferencvarosi TC.

Line favourite market consensus: Ferencvarosi TC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 3.97 / 2 6.37
  • 1X2 market: Ferencvarosi TC 62.0% / X 23.4% / Ludogorets 14.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 62.0%
X 23.4%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2025 18:15 UTC
Match center

Ferencvarosi TC - Ludogorets

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.98 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.51 66.2%
X 4.13 24.2%
6.50 15.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
6.25 16.0% 6.00 16.7% 6.88 14.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.23 44.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9% 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.53 39.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Ferencvarosi TC
D W W
06.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferencvarosi TC 0:0 LudogoretsLudogorets
30.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferencvarosi TC 4:3 FC NoahFC Noah
22.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferencvarosi TC 2:1 FC NoahFC Noah
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Ludogorets
D D D L W
06.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 0:0 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
30.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:1 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
22.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 0:0 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
16.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:2 Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
09.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:0 Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFerencvarosi TC - Ludogorets

Ferencvarosi TC
1 matches total
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Ludogorets: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.08 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferentsvarosh
0:0
Ludogorets