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Start
30.09.2025 19:00 UTC
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30.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray - Liverpool
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Galatasaray - Liverpool September 30, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.
Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.99 / X 4.58 / 2 1.60
- 1X2 market: Galatasaray 19.2% / X 20.9% / Liverpool 59.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 67.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.4%
1
19.2%
X
20.9%
2
59.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Galatasaray - Liverpool
Form
1/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.60
market consensus · line only
X
4.58
market consensus · line only
1
5.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.20
market consensus · line only
1X
2.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.18
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.94
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.93
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.60
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 5.15 19.4% | |
| X | 4.61 21.7% |
| 1.61 62.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.90 20.4% | 5.10 19.6% | 4.96 20.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 4.45 22.5% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.92 20.3% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.68 37.3% | 2.56 39.1% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.57 38.9% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| home_draw | 2.30 43.5% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.46 40.7% |
Match center
Galatasaray
L
Galatasaray
1:5
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
Liverpool
W
W
W
W
Liverpool
3:2
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
Liverpool
1:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Liverpool
2:0
Bologna
Bologna
Liverpool
3:1
AC Milan
AC Milan
4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.3
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - Liverpool
Galatasaray
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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